Four Levels of Argument

Attempting to rationalize any extraterrestrial claims should be classified in some manner to reach a more coherent view of any phenomena related to those claims. This particular framework is roughly modeled on Prof. Stephan Toulmin's model from his 1958 book "The Uses of Argument."[1] It provides a framework for analyzing arguments that's more nuanced than formal logic, making it especially useful for real-world reasoning across disciplines.
 
Level 1: Scientific/repeatable and verifiable
  • At the highest level, data and results are widely accepted or scientifically established
  • Informational output contains explicit claim, data, warrant, backing, appropriate qualifiers
  • The claims can acknowledge potential rebuttals

Level 2: Partially verifiable / Evidential
  • Investigations and output are clear claims with varying forms of evidential data
  • Multiple independent sources confirm strong biases
  • Missing explicit comprehensive scientific backing or consideration of rebuttals |
  • Gaps are not fully understood

Level 3: Verifiable through multiple sources but not repeatable
  • Contains claims, fragmented data and/or anecdotal evidence
  • Bases and assumptions are unclear, unverifiable, or questionable
  • Lower logical connectiveness or causal bridge (A causes B)

Level 4: Non-verifiable or repeatable / Conjecture / Opinion / Deficient Arguments
  • Has opinions or claims with minimal or no supporting data
  • Data is fragmented, missing or deeply flawed
  • No backing or consideration of counter-evidence

This framework can be used to analyze articles, reports, news coverage, papers and other discussions to classify with the intent of raising the awareness of reasoning.

  1. Stephen Toulmin biography  

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